Momentum is building for Rafael Leão's transfer to Bayern, as reports suggest a 77% probability of the deal moving forward. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Few direct competitors for position (Kingsley Coman, Serge Gnabry)
Comparable value to previously attracted players
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Potential star player in position on team (Kingsley Coman, Serge Gnabry)
Key player as direct competitor (Kingsley Coman, Serge Gnabry)
Many competitors with higher Potential (Jamal Musiala , Leroy Sané)
Some better competitors for position (Leroy Sané, Jamal Musiala )
Manchester United and Chelsea have shown concrete interest in AC Milan star Rafael Leao, with the chances of a summer move increasing.
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
85.9
92.0
|
Dejan Kulusevski |
 Tottenham
|
€61.4M |
|
84.7
84.8
|
Ousmane Dembélé |
 PSG
|
€95.4M |
|
83.9
100.0
|
Lamine Yamal |
 Barcelona
|
€183.2M |
|
82.6
86.5
|
Bryan Mbeumo |
 Brentford
|
€45.7M |
|
82.2
84.3
|
Christian Pulišić |
 Milan
|
€47.9M |
|
80.4
80.4
|
Harvey Barnes |
 Newcastle Utd.
|
€41.4M |
|
80.2
89.7
|
Jérémy Doku |
 Man City
|
€66M |
|
79.8
87.6
|
Callum Hudson-Odoi |
 Nottingham
|
€27.4M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nkunku | 14-07-2025 | Report | |
| Marcus Rashford | 02-07-2025 | Report | |
| Jamie Gittens | 23-06-2025 | Report | |
| Morgan Rogers | 20-06-2025 | Report | |
| Yunus Musah | 16-06-2025 | Report | |
| Marc Guéhi | 30-05-2025 | Report | |
| Cody Gakpo | 28-05-2025 | Report | |
| Eberechi Eze | 26-05-2025 | Report |
Milan
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Rafael Leão (POR) is a a classic winger and currently plays for Milan. Rafael Leão is 26 years old (1999/06/10) and he is 188cm tall. His preferred foot is Right. His jersey number is 17. Rafael Leão has also been used as a wide playmaker.
Rafael Leão's current transfer value is between €65.3M and €79.8M. His last transfer was from Lille to Milan in 2019. Milan paid Lille €49.5M for Rafael Leão.
Rafael Leão latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Bayern 
