Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Vinicius Junior transferring to Al Ahli appears very low, with only 9% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Few direct competitors for position (Sumayhan Al-Nabit, Modou Barrow)
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Riyad Mahrez, Firas Al-Buraikan)
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Riyad Mahrez, Firas Al-Buraikan)
Missing potential star player in position
Little chance of further development
More potential than previously attracted players
More expensive than previously attracted players
Better than previously attracted players
Vinícius Júnior will wait until the end of this season before making a decision on whether to pursue a move to Saudi Arabia, a source has told ESPN.
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
84.6
86.4
|
Mohamed Salah |
 Liverpool
|
€37.2M |
|
84.6
84.6
|
Serge Gnabry |
 Bayern
|
€17.4M |
|
83.6
86.5
|
Alexander Isak |
 Newcastle
|
€117.1M |
|
83.6
87.9
|
Kai Havertz |
 Arsenal
|
€59.4M |
|
82.5
86.0
|
Lautaro Martínez |
 Inter
|
€105.1M |
|
81.8
89.9
|
Rodrygo |
 Real Madrid
|
€98.1M |
|
81.5
88.8
|
Charles De Ketelaere |
 Atalanta
|
€44.1M |
|
80.4
84.0
|
Darwin Núñez |
 Al-Hilal
|
€51.4M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrygo | 04-08-2025 | Report | |
| Martín Zubimendi | 23-04-2025 | Report | |
| Arda Güler | 08-04-2025 | Report | |
| Ivan Toney | 30-08-2024 | Report | |
| Victor Osimhen | 27-08-2024 | Report | |
| Álvaro Rodríguez | 26-08-2024 | Report | |
| Nico Paz | 22-08-2024 | Report | |
| Alexsander | 18-08-2024 | Report |
Real Madrid
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Vinícius Júnior (BRA) is a A mobile striker and currently plays for Real Madrid. Vinícius Júnior is 25 years old (2000/07/12) and he is 176cm tall. His preferred foot is Right. His jersey number is 20. Vinícius Júnior has also been used as A poacher, an inside forward, A wide playmaker and as A classic winger.
Vinícius Júnior’s current transfer value is between €91M and €111.2M. His last transfer was from Flamengo to Real Madrid in 2018. Real Madrid paid Flamengo €45M for Vinícius Júnior.
Vinícius Júnior latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Al Ahli 
