The results Wolves need to achieve the greatest escape in Premier League history

Cameron Smith

• 6 Mar 2026 05:08 CST
• 4 min read

Analysis

With seven points from their last four Premier League matches, Wolves are approaching ‘they couldn’t, could they?’ status, even though the answer is almost certainly a resounding no.

Rob Edwards’ side are still rock bottom of the English top flight table, but a revival since the beginning of 2026 has sparked whispers of the greatest escape in Premier League history.

With 16 points from 30 league games, having played one extra fixture than their relegation rivals, Wolves aren’t far off being confirmed as the first club to slip back down to the Championship this term, however their recent form has given fans a small glimmer of hope.

Their local rivals West Bromwich Albion currently boast arguably the greatest escape in Premier League history after avoiding relegation in 2004-05, despite being bottom at Christmas and being in the relegation zone before the final round of fixtures.

However, after 30 league games, West Brom had amassed 21 points and they survived with just 34. To avoid relegation this season, Wolves will be required to better West Brom’s achievement by a significant margin.

In fact, they realistically need to display the same kind of form as Leicester City in 2014-15, who won seven of their final nine matches to avoid the drop, before lifting the Premier League title 12 months later.

Could Wolves actually stay up?

Wolves’ fixture list for the rest of the season is fairly kind, but they will still need to win the vast majority of their eight remaining games to give them even a chance of survival.

If they do win all eight matches, they would hit the 40-point mark and there’s a good chance that would be enough to survive.

However, Wolves will still need to finish above two of West Ham United, Nottingham Forest, Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United to escape relegation, all of whom have a far easier task of reaching 40 points due to their results throughout the season so far.

If Wolves win all eight of their remaining Premier League matches, they will need West Ham and Nottingham Forest, who currently have 28 points each, to pick up less than 1.3 points per game during the remainder of the season in order to survive.

In layman’s terms, for Wolves to survive if they win eight consecutive league matches, Forest and West Ham must win a maximum of four games, while losing their other five fixtures by such a margin that allows Wolves to overtake both clubs on goal difference.

Unsurprisingly, the fewer wins Wolves pick up, the worse form their relegation rivals must display for them to survive.

The lowest points tally Wolves could finish 17th with is 28. This would involve winning four and losing four of their final eight matches, including beating West Ham on 10 April.

Meanwhile, West Ham and Nottingham Forest would each have to lose all nine of their remaining matches, with Wolves leapfrogging both clubs via goal difference.

As a result, Wolves will be guaranteed to suffer relegation if they fail to pick up at least 12 points from their remaining eight Premier League matches.

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