Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Fábio Vieira transferring to Hamburg appears very low, with only 39% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Albert Grønbæk, Martin Adeline)
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Mads Bröcker (Attacking midfielder, GER), Martin Adeline)
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Little chance of further development
Potential star player in position on team (Albert Grønbæk, Martin Adeline)
Way too many better competitors for position (Albert Grønbæk, Martin Adeline)
More expensive than previously attracted players
🚨🆕 Hamburger SV and Arsenal remain in direct contact over Fabio Vieira. Concrete figures have now been exchanged between the clubs. All of HSV’s new signings are independent of a potential Vieira deal. Vieira is hoping for an agreement. He loves the club, the city and the coach, with a permanent…
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
70.7
75.5
|
Abde Ezzalzouli |
 Real Betis
|
€16M |
|
70.7
77.3
|
Jakub Kamiński |
 Benfica
|
€11M |
|
70.7
73.0
|
Loïc Badé |
 Bayer 04
|
€18.5M |
|
70.7
75.7
|
Dilane Bakwa |
 Lille
|
€26.5M |
|
70.7
77.3
|
Yunus Musah |
 Milan
|
€15.5M |
|
70.7
74.3
|
Fabiano Parisi |
 Fiorentina
|
€4.3M |
|
70.7
76.9
|
Gerard Martín |
 Barcelona
|
€16.3M |
|
70.7
70.7
|
Ryan Yates |
 N. Forest
|
€8M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Jesus | 31-08-2026 | Report | |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | 25-08-2026 | Report | |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 21-08-2026 | Report | |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 17-08-2026 | Report | |
| Martín Zubimendi | 13-08-2026 | Report | |
| Reiss Nelson | 11-08-2026 | Report | |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 01-08-2026 | Report | |
| William Saliba | 08-07-2026 | Report |
Hamburg
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Fábio Vieira (POR) currently plays for Hamburg. Fábio Vieira is 26 years old (2000/05/30). His preferred foot is Left. His jersey number is 21.
Fábio Vieira's current transfer value is between €10.8M and €13.2M. His last transfer was from Arsenal to Hamburg in 2026. Hamburg paid Arsenal €9M for Fábio Vieira.
Fábio Vieira latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Arsenal 
