Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Fábio Vieira transferring to Hamburg appears very low, with only 39% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Albert Grønbæk, Bilal Nadir)
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Mads Bröcker (GER), Bilal Nadir)
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Little chance of further development
Potential star player in position on team (Albert Grønbæk, Martin Adeline)
Way too many better competitors for position (Albert Grønbæk, Martin Adeline)
More expensive than previously attracted players
🚨🆕 Hamburger SV and Arsenal remain in direct contact over Fabio Vieira. Concrete figures have now been exchanged between the clubs. All of HSV’s new signings are independent of a potential Vieira deal. Vieira is hoping for an agreement. He loves the club, the city and the
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
72.2
85.0
|
Jacobo Ramón |
 Como
|
€17.8M |
|
72.2
79.9
|
Ilaix Moriba |
 Celta
|
€12.4M |
|
72.2
77.3
|
Dani Vivian |
 Athletic
|
€33.3M |
|
72.2
87.0
|
Tom Bischof |
 Bayern
|
€42.2M |
|
72.2
72.2
|
Ángel Correa |
 Tigres
|
€5.4M |
|
72.2
72.2
|
Lewis Dunk |
 Brighton
|
€3.6M |
|
72.2
72.2
|
Niklas Beste |
 SC Freiburg
|
€7.3M |
|
72.2
81.8
|
Habib Diarra |
 Sunderland
|
€39.2M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Nwaneri | 01-08-2026 | Report | |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 31-07-2026 | Report | |
| Gabriel Jesus | 15-07-2026 | Report | |
| William Saliba | 08-07-2026 | Report | |
| Leandro Trossard | 01-07-2026 | Report | |
| Riccardo Calafiori | 10-06-2026 | Report | |
| Declan Rice | 01-06-2026 | Report | |
| Christian Nørgaard | 20-05-2026 | Report |
Arsenal
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Fábio Vieira (POR) currently plays for Arsenal. Fábio Vieira is 26 years old (2000/05/30) and he is 170cm tall. His preferred foot is Left. His jersey number is 21.
Fábio Vieira's current transfer value is between €13.3M and €16.3M. His last transfer was from Arsenal to Hamburg in 2025. Hamburg loaned Fábio Vieira for free from Arsenal.
Fábio Vieira latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Hamburg 
