CONFIRMED: Ethan Mbappé signs for Lille

Rumours suggest Real Madrid is keen on Ethan Mbappé, yet with a probability of only 56%, the move remains uncertain. Here is why.

Real Madrid has a great talent in the current squad who plays in the same position as Ethan Mbappé.
In the current Real Madrid squad, there are too many direct competitors playing in the same position as Ethan Mbappé. This reduces the chances of playing time and development.
Real Madrid has often bought players who are approximately the same age as the current age of Ethan Mbappé (18).

Potential star player in position on team (Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde)
Way too many better competitors for position (Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde)
Key player as direct competitor (Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde)
Many competitors with higher Potential (Jude Bellingham, Eduardo Camavinga)
Some better competitors for position (Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham)
Less potential than previously attracted players
Weaker than previously attracted players

4 Jul 2024

Lille beats Real Madrid to sign Ethan Mbappé. The midfielder leaves on a free transfer, ending the rumour of Ethan Mbappé moving to Real Madrid.

Skill / pot	Player	Team	ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. More info
Skill / pot	Player / Team / Position	ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. More info
40.9 54.7	Dávid Ovšonka	Púchov	€0.3M
40.9 40.9	Vuk Atanasijević	MŠK Žilina II	€0.4M
40.9 40.9	Patrick McLaughlin	York City	€0.1M
40.9 40.9	William Pauliankhum	Rajasthan	€81.2K
40.9 40.9	Dong Hang	Qingdao Youth	€0.2M
40.9 56.4	Jan Furman	Radunia Stezyca	€0.1M
40.9 50.7	David Abrangao	Turkgucu Munchen	€0.1M
40.9 49.0	Narek Alaverdyan	Ararat-Armenia	€84K