Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Casemiro transferring to Al Ahli appears very low, with only 5% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Few direct competitors for position (Ziyad Al-Johani, Ali Al-Asmari)
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Gabri Veiga, Franck Kessié)
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Gabri Veiga, Franck Kessié)
Missing potential star player in position
Comparable value to previously attracted players
Little chance of further development
Better than previously attracted players
🚨🎯 #Casemiro remains a main target for the 🇸🇦 League, confirmed. ❌ However, 2 clubs interested in him surprisingly decided to withdraw from the negotiation: #AlNassr and #AlHilal are NO longer in the race. ‼️ To date, #AlAhli and #AlQadisiya are still on the #MUFC player.
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
78.1
78.4
|
Granit Xhaka |
 Sunderland
|
€15.4M |
|
77.8
77.8
|
Scott McTominay |
 Napoli
|
€40.5M |
|
77.3
85.7
|
Moisés Caicedo |
 Chelsea
|
€121M |
|
77.0
87.6
|
Carlos Baleba |
 Brighton
|
€59.4M |
|
77.0
87.5
|
Yasin Ayari |
Brighton
|
€34.5M |
|
76.5
79.6
|
Conor Gallagher |
 Tottenham
|
€38.5M |
|
76.4
79.9
|
Ethan Ampadu |
 Leeds Utd
|
€21.3M |
|
76.4
76.7
|
Atakan Karazor |
 Stuttgart
|
€9.9M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amad Diallo | 16-07-2026 | Report | |
| Kobbie Mainoo | 06-07-2026 | Report | |
| Mason Mount | 01-07-2026 | Report | |
| Josko Gvardiol | 01-06-2026 | Report | |
| André Onana | 18-05-2026 | Report | |
| Manuel Ugarte | 13-04-2026 | Report | |
| Matthijs de Ligt | 10-04-2026 | Report | |
| Vinícius Júnior | 14-10-2025 | Report |
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Casemiro (BRA) is a a ball winning midfielder. Casemiro is 34 years old (1992/02/23) and he is 185cm tall. His preferred foot is Right. His jersey number is 18. Casemiro has also been used as a box to box midfielder.
Casemiro's current transfer value is between €4.9M and €6.6M. His last transfer was from Real Madrid to Man Utd in 2022. Man Utd paid Real Madrid €70M for Casemiro.
Casemiro latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Man Utd 
Al Ahli 
