Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Carlos Baleba transferring to Newcastle appears very low, with only 22% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Joelinton, Jacob Ramsey)
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Lewis Miley , Jacob Ramsey)
Missing potential star player in position
Some direct competitors for position (Aladji Bamba)
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Little chance of further development
More potential than previously attracted players
More expensive than previously attracted players
Chelsea have signed Rayo Vallecano left-back Pep Chavarria on a five-year deal for a fee of around £16.3m plus add-ons. He replaces Marc Cucurella, who has moved to Madrid.
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
79.0
86.3
|
Máximo Perrone |
 Como
|
€31.5M |
|
76.5
80.0
|
Ethan Ampadu |
 Leeds Utd
|
€19.2M |
|
75.2
75.2
|
Tomas Soucek |
 West Ham
|
€10.7M |
|
75.2
76.7
|
Vitaly Janelt |
 Brentford
|
€18.5M |
|
75.0
75.3
|
Tyler Adams |
 B'mouth
|
€21.8M |
|
74.9
74.9
|
Sean Longstaff |
Leeds Utd
|
€15.5M |
|
74.5
87.4
|
Leon Avdullahu |
 Hoffenheim
|
€25M |
|
74.4
74.4
|
Sander Berge |
 Fulham
|
€22M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amar Dedić | 13-08-2026 | Report | |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | 08-08-2026 | Report | |
| Giorgio Scalvini | 03-08-2026 | Report | |
| Tyler Adams | 01-08-2026 | Report | |
| Lukas Hornicek | 01-08-2026 | Report | |
| Abde Ezzalzouli | 29-07-2026 | Report | |
| Liam Delap | 29-07-2026 | Report | |
| Carl Rushworth | 29-07-2026 | Report |
Brighton
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Carlos Baleba (CMR) is a A holding midfielder and currently plays for Brighton. Carlos Baleba is 22 years old (2004/01/03) and he is 179cm tall. His preferred foot is Left. His jersey number is 35. Carlos Baleba has also been used as A ball winning midfielder, A box to box midfielder and as A deep lying playmaker.
Carlos Baleba’s current transfer value is between €48.1M and €58.8M. His last transfer was from Lille to Brighton in 2023. Brighton paid Lille €27M for Carlos Baleba.
Carlos Baleba latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Newcastle 
