Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Josko Gvardiol transferring to Bayern appears very low, with only 37% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Few direct competitors for position (Alphonso Davies , Raphaël Guerreiro)
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Alphonso Davies , Tom Bischof (Midfielder, GER))
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Tom Bischof (Midfielder, GER), Alphonso Davies )
Missing potential star player in position
Comparable value to previously attracted players
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Barcelona and Bayern Munich are monitoring Josko Gvardiol, with the Bundesliga giants having already made initial inquiries for the defender.
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
81.7
84.7
|
Marc Guéhi |
 Man City
|
€51.1M |
|
80.8
85.1
|
Eric García |
 Barcelona
|
€23.1M |
|
79.9
100.0
|
Pau Cubarsí |
Barcelona
|
€136.5M |
|
79.5
79.7
|
Fikayo Tomori |
 Milan
|
€12M |
|
78.6
78.6
|
Bremer |
 Juventus
|
€31.8M |
|
78.2
81.3
|
Alessandro Bastoni |
 Inter
|
€52.1M |
|
77.5
80.7
|
Pierre Kalulu |
Juventus
|
€26.6M |
|
77.0
78.6
|
Ezri Konsa |
 Arsenal
|
€32.1M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amad Diallo | 31-08-2026 | Report | |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 28-08-2026 | Report | |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 25-08-2026 | Report | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 04-08-2026 | Report | |
| Orlando Gill | 16-07-2026 | Report | |
| Lisandro Martínez | 15-07-2026 | Report | |
| Ismael Saibari | 27-06-2026 | Report | |
| Ibrahima Konaté | 01-06-2026 | Report |
Man City
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Josko Gvardiol (CRO) is a A ball playing defender and currently plays for Man City. Josko Gvardiol is 24 years old (2002/01/23) and he is 185cm tall. His preferred foot is Left. His jersey number is 32. Josko Gvardiol has also been used as A ball winning defender and as A stopper.
Josko Gvardiol’s current transfer value is between €49.7M and €60.8M. His last transfer was from RB Leipzig to Man City in 2023. Man City paid RB Leipzig €90M for Josko Gvardiol.
Josko Gvardiol latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Man Utd 
Bayern 
