Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Rafael Leão transferring to Chelsea appears very low, with only 28% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Few direct competitors for position (Jadon Sancho, Mykhaylo Mudryk)
Missing star player in position on team
Few better competitors for position (Nicolas Jackson (Striker, SEN), Christopher Nkunku)
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Nicolas Jackson (Striker, SEN), Jadon Sancho)
Comparable value to previously attracted players
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Little chance of further development
Potential star player in position on team (Jadon Sancho, Mykhaylo Mudryk)
Manchester United and Chelsea have shown concrete interest in AC Milan star Rafael Leao, with the chances of a summer move increasing.
Chelsea have initiated informal contacts over a transfer deal for AC Milan star Rafael Leao, who is also an option being considered by Arsenal
Chelsea are laying the groundwork to sign Rafael Leao next summer as they are prepared to help him with off-field issues
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
85.9
92.0
|
Dejan Kulusevski |
 Tottenham
|
€61.4M |
|
84.7
84.8
|
Ousmane Dembélé |
 PSG
|
€95.4M |
|
83.9
100.0
|
Lamine Yamal |
 Barcelona
|
€183.2M |
|
83.1
90.3
|
Michael Olise |
 Bayern
|
€75.8M |
|
82.6
86.5
|
Bryan Mbeumo |
 Brentford
|
€45.7M |
|
82.2
84.3
|
Christian Pulisic |
 Milan
|
€47.9M |
|
80.4
80.4
|
Harvey Barnes |
 Newcastle Utd.
|
€41.4M |
|
80.2
89.7
|
Jérémy Doku |
 Man City
|
€66M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kees Smit | 09-07-2025 | Report | |
| Emiliano Martínez | 27-06-2025 | Report | |
| Harvey Elliott | 27-06-2025 | Report | |
| João Pedro | 20-06-2025 | Report | |
| Malick Fofana | 18-06-2025 | Report | |
| Jorrel Hato | 13-06-2025 | Report | |
| Hugo Ekitiké | 02-06-2025 | Report | |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 06-05-2025 | Report |
Milan
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Rafael Leão (POR) is a A classic winger and currently plays for Milan. Rafael Leão is 26 years old (1999/06/10) and he is 188cm tall. His preferred foot is Right. His jersey number is 17. Rafael Leão has also been used as A wide playmaker.
Rafael Leão’s current transfer value is between €65.3M and €79.8M. His last transfer was from Lille to Milan in 2019. Milan paid Lille €49.5M for Rafael Leão.
Rafael Leão latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Chelsea 
