Will Bailey Rice leave Rangers and join Ajax?

Momentum is building for Bailey Rice's transfer to Ajax, as reports suggest a 65% probability of the deal moving forward. Here is why.

Ajax has a great talent in the current squad who plays in the same position as Bailey Rice.
Ajax has often bought players who are approximately the same age as the current age of Bailey Rice (19).
The absence of key players at Ajax who play in the same position as Bailey Rice increases his chances of playing a significant role in the short term and allows him to establish himself as a valuable asset in Ajax's squad.

Transfer Logic score:

Pros

Comparable age to previously attracted players
Missing star player in position on team
Comparable value to previously attracted players
Some direct competitors for position (Jorthy Mokio)

Cons

Potential star player in position on team (Jorthy Mokio)
Many competitors with higher Potential (Jorthy Mokio, Sean Steur)
Some better competitors for position (Ko Itakura, Davy Klaassen)
Less potential than previously attracted players
Weaker than previously attracted players

Fabrizio Romano (@FabrizioRomano) on X

22 Apr 2026 09:40 BST

🚨 EXCL: Ajax and Schalke are both trying to sign Bailey Rice from Rangers as a free agent. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish midfielder is out of contract this summer and Schalke have made initial personal terms offer already. Bailey hasn’t agreed yet with Rangers on a new deal and he’s open to https://t.co/o0vhtIThfa

Alternatives of Ajax

Skill / pot	Player	Team	ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. More info
Skill / pot	Player / Team / Position	ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. More info
33.0 33.0	Louis Mouquet	Calcio Padova	€0.4M
33.0 33.0	Simone Rea	Tre	€50K
32.9 37.3	Eldiyar Zarypbekov	Chernomorets	€0.4M
32.9 32.9	Demir Xhemalija	Luzern	€0.4M
32.9 33.4	Manuel Battistini	Virtus	€50K
32.8 32.8	Hussein Bahzad	Al Sailiya	€0.2M
32.8 32.8	Owen Jochmans	OH	€0.2M
32.8 32.8	Rudzani Thobo	Polokwane City	€0.1M

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