Despite ongoig transfertalk, the probability of Vinicius Junior transferring to Chelsea appears very low, with only 39% change of the deal goung trough. Here is why.
Comparable age to previously attracted players
Comparable potential to previously attracted players
Few direct competitors for position (Jamie Gittens, Mykhaylo Mudryk )
Few better competitors for position (Jamie Gittens, Marc Cucurella )
Not many competitors with higher Potential (Jamie Gittens, Alejandro Garnacho)
Comparable quality to previously attracted players
Little chance of further development
Potential star player in position on team (Jamie Gittens, Mykhaylo Mudryk )
Key player as direct competitor (Jamie Gittens, Mykhaylo Mudryk )
More expensive than previously attracted players
El Real Madrid ha recibido una oferta de 150 millones de euros de un gigante europeo por Vinicius Jr, mientras su renovación sigue en punto muerto.
| Skill / pot | Player | Team |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skill / pot | Player / Team / Position |
ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. |
|
|
82.6
82.6
|
Ousmane Dembélé |
 PSG
|
€97.8M |
|
80.4
80.4
|
Marcus Rashford |
 Barcelona
|
€52.2M |
|
79.6
86.9
|
Bradley Barcola |
PSG
|
€69.6M |
|
78.0
81.4
|
Antony |
 Real Betis
|
€33.2M |
|
76.8
81.0
|
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |
PSG
|
€108.7M |
| Player | From / To | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jérémy Jacquet | 06-01-2026 | Report | |
| Morgan Rogers | 06-01-2026 | Report | |
| Santiago Castro | 29-12-2025 | Report | |
| Mario Gila | 27-12-2025 | Report | |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | 22-12-2025 | Report | |
| Djylian N'Guessan | 19-12-2025 | Report | |
| Daniel Muñoz | 17-12-2025 | Report | |
| Kees Smit | 15-12-2025 | Report |
Real Madrid
The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player.
Vinícius Júnior (BRA) is a an inside forward and currently plays for Real Madrid. Vinícius Júnior is 25 years old (2000/07/12) and he is 176cm tall. His preferred foot is Right. His jersey number is 20. Vinícius Júnior has also been used as a wide playmaker and as a classic winger.
Vinícius Júnior's current transfer value is between €88.9M and €108.7M. His last transfer was from Flamengo to Real Madrid in 2018. Real Madrid paid Flamengo €45M for Vinícius Júnior.
Vinícius Júnior latest transfers and transfer rumours, season statistics and career statistics are available on FootballTransfers.
Chelsea 
