Will Luís Semedo leave Benfica and join Sunderland?

Momentum is building for Luís Semedo's transfer to Sunderland, as reports suggest a 71% probability of the deal moving forward. Here is why.

Sunderland has a great talent in the current squad who plays in the same position as Luís Semedo.
Sunderland has often bought players who are approximately the same age as the current age of Luís Semedo (21).
Luís Semedo is in a favorable situation regarding potential playing time, as there are only a limited number of direct competitors for his position within the current Sunderland squad. This significantly increases his chances to prove himself and become a key player on the field.

Potential star player in position on team (Anthony Patterson, Nathan Bishop)
Key player as direct competitor (Anthony Patterson, Nathan Bishop)
Some better competitors for position (Anthony Patterson, Nathan Bishop)
Some potentially better competitors for position (Anthony Patterson, Nathan Bishop)
Less potential than previously attracted players
Weaker than previously attracted players
Much weaker than previously attracted players

Skill / pot	Player	Team	ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. More info
Skill / pot	Player / Team / Position	ETV The Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) is calculated by the Player Valuation Model, that calculates the accurate transfer fee for a given player. More info
33.3 33.3	Juan Francisco Garcia Pena	St Joseph's	€0.2M
32.9 32.9	Kostiantyn Kvas	Rukh Vynnyky	€0.1M